So we say goodbye to Euro 2008 and although I didn’t tip Spain to win the tournament, I will admit they did deserve to win it in the end.  But don’t worry, you won’t have to wait over 40 years like Spain have, the Premiership will be back soon and I’ll be here to give my opinion on things(mostly wrong though!!). 

So if you enjoyed this blog, then check out >>>>www.premiershipbettingbanter.com<<<<, for articles on the latest football news, free Premiership, UEFA Champions League and International betting tips.  I hope to see you there!!

After weeks of watching Euro 2008 and everyone guessing who’s going to win it, two of the pre-tournament favourites Germany and Spain make the final.  I’m sure the bookies will be pleased about that!!!

Germany v Spain

The Spanish have played Germany 19 times, winning 5 games and losing 8.  In the big tournaments Spain have only beaten Germany once in 5 tries, losing 3 times.  Spain will be without David Villa, who looks likely to be replaced by Arsenal’s Fabregas .  Although Villa is a fantastic player, for me it was a blessing in disguise when Aragones was forced to replace him with Fabregas in the semi-finals.  Fabregas was the key to opening up the Russian defence and playing tomorrow will give Spain a more attacking threat from midfield.  Germany on the other hand may be without Ballack through an injury he picked up in training, a big loss as he’s one of the players they have really been relying on in this tournament.  Can Spain win the European Championship for the second time?  Or will Germany finish the job to add to their 3 Euro titles?  Spain are the favourites to win this match in 90 minutes at 2..4 odds and Germany are priced at 3.45 on Betfair.

Euro 2008 Final Betting tips:The Germans have scored 10 goals so far in Euro 2008 but their dodgy defence has conceded 6 and Spain have scored 11 goals in total.  Finals are usually very cagey and dull affairs but I will take a risk and back ‘Over 2.5 goals’ for the final at odds of 2.32.  To cover this bet I’m also looking at a 0-0 scoreline at halftime at odds of 2.52, just like it has been in the last three Euro finals, or if you want to take a little less risk go for the draw at half time at around 2.1.

Podolski will be doing everything he can to score today, if he does he will come level with David Villa with 4 tournament goals and he’ll share the golden boot.  Back him to score at anytime at odds of 3.85 on Betfair.

For a bit of fun, back Schweinsteiger and Fabregas in the First goal scorer market at odds of around 17.5 and 13.0. 

So you probably want to know who I think will win today?? Well if I you really want me to make a decision…..then I’ll be backing Germany to win it outright, but don’t blame me if they don’t!!

Remember if you haven’t already, claim your FREE £25Bet from Betfair and William Hill today so you can bet on the final and hopefully make some money!!!  Just click on the banners, sign up and deposit £25, then you’ll get your free bet, easy!!!

UPDATE:  (Germany 0-1 Spain)  It was Spain all the way in this final and the ordinary German team looked like they ran out of luck in the end.  The 1 goal doesn’t tell the story of the final, Spain were in control and their defence were never troubled by Germany.  Unfortunately none of the tips came off in this final, making me feel as sick as a German football fan!!!  But don’t worry just like Spain, I’ll hopefully shed my under achiever tag soon..!! 

Thursday sees the remaining semi-final match played.  Before the customary pre-match write up, Euro2008Banter.com can give you exclusive news about the UFO sighting in Wales earlier this month.  Experts at the Ministry of Defence (MoD) have confirmed that the UFO was ‘NOT’ the missing World Cup Italia ‘90 match ball from Chris Waddle’s missed penalty kick.  Quoting an MoD source ‘We categorically deny any rumours that this UFO sighting is connected to the missing match ball,  there have been no sightings of the ball since it entered the stratosphere over 17 years ago’. 

Russia v Spain

The teams have played each other 9 times, with Spain winning 5 times and Russia only the one time.  The latest victory for Spain of course came in Euro 2008 with a 4-1 win.   The 1 time Russia beat Spain, was in 1971 with a 2-1 victory.  There’s no doubt that Spain have the more experienced side, Russia have the youngest squad in the whole tournament, averaging at 26 years old.  So these two teams meet again, will this be a repeat of the group game? Or can Russia turn it around?  Russia have improved as the tournament have gone on, whereas Spain have been consistently playing well.  The Russian defence will always be a little suspect to me, especially with the strike duo of Torres and Villa up front for Spain.  But this this match will be different, Arshavin will play and I’m sure Hiddink will try to correct the defensive problems he saw when they last played.  I think that this match will be much closer than before.

Euro 2008 semi final betting tip:  Spain are at quite big odds to win the match at 2.16, considering they beat Russia 4-1 already over a week ago.  I would of thought the odds of over 2.5 goals in this match would be pretty low based on the attacking and free flowing football both teams have played so far, but you can get odds of 2.3 for over 2.5 goals on Betfair.  My heart says to go with Russia the team I backed at the start of the tournament, but my head tells me that Spain will be the ones that qualify at the end of the night….which do I listen to?  Anyone who has backed Russia to win the tournament may want to trade out to get a guaranteed return, or lay Russia to qualify so they don’t lose too much if they go out today.

I’ll be following my heart and backing Russia, surely a quick route to the poor house!!  A small bet on Pavlyuchenko  to score at anytime odds of 3.65 on Betfair.  Also go small on Russia to be winning at half time, odds of 4.8. Although I think it will be a tight game, lets go with over 2.5 goals as it looks value at odds of 2.3.

UPDATE: (Russia 0-3 Spain)- Spain come out deserved winners in this game and were just too good for the Russians.  Russia never came out to play like they did against the Dutch, getting to the final was one step too far for this young squad.  In hindsight I should of traded out my bet of backing Russia to win the tournament to get guaranteed profit, I hope you took my advice!!   The to score at anytime bet never came off and neither did the Russia to lead at half time bet.  Luckily over 2.5 goals were reached and we covered the losses on these fun bets.  A lesson to learn, don’t let your heart rule your head when betting.

After a few days rest Euro 2008 continues, if you thought the tension was unbearable in the quarter finals, then it’s just going to get much worse in the semis, especially if you bet on any of my losing tips!! Wimbledon tennis has started this week and what can be more of a surprising sight than seeing a British woman tennis player progressing to the next round??…..No rain (yet) of course!!!

Germany v Turkey

Germany have played the Turkish 17 times , winning 11 times and only losing three games.  But Turkey can take heart as they’re unbeaten in 3 successive games against the Germans with two wins and a draw.  Turkey might struggle to field a team with Tuncay Sanli, Arda Turan, Emre Asik suspended and goalkeeper Demirel serving his 2nd match ban for a red card, as well as injuries to contend with.  With only 15 players to choose from, surely Turkey can’t beat the Germans??  Well we would be foolish to write off the comeback kings who have found themselves behind in 4 games but have still managed to win 2 games and get a  draw.   The Germans have been solid in this tournament, just like a well oiled machine they’ve produced good performances when necessary, especially against the Portuguese which won us our bet at odds of 3.35.

Euro 2008 betting tips- This is a very difficult bet for me, Turkey have so many players out due to suspension and injuries, but what we’ve learnt so far is that the Turkish always have that will to win, no matter the circumstances.  In my opinion this is a match of two teams that should never be written off!!  My prediction is that Germany will get to the final especially now they have Frings back fully fit, whether it’s done in 90 minutes is anyone’s guess!!  Lets hope the match doesn’t go on for too long, it is a school night after all!! Although I get the feeling that tonight could be the late late show by the Germans.  The odds for the Germans to win in 90 minutes is 1.46 and 1.23 to qualify.

The main bets today are on the draw at half time at odds of around 2.46 and also back the 1-0 to Germany scoreline at halftime, odds are 3.55.  But the 1-0 to Turkey scoreline at halftime looks tempting at 11.5!!

I’ll be going with a few fun bets today, so bet accordingly.  With so many players out for Turkey, Fatih Terim will be looking to make a sparse amount of substitutions, bet on Germany in the ‘First Substitution’ market at odds of 1.81 on Betfair.  Knowing my luck Turkey will have to make a substitution after 1 minute due to injury!!

Also back Bastian Schweinsteiger to be shown a yellow card at odds of 3.45, I’m hoping he’ll have a crazy moment just like the Croatia match!!

I’m also thinking of backing Ballack to score at anytime, 3.25 looks quite tempting, he’s always performed in the big games for club and country.  There’s alot of bets today, so make sure to bet small amounts or sign up to get your FREE bet from Betfair!!

UPDATE:  (Germany 3-2 Turkey) It was the game everyone predicted, very tight, boring and not many goals!!!  When Turkey came back at 2-2 with four minutes to go, I thought lightning was going to stike again, but the only lightning that struck was the one which effected the pictures for the whole world in the second half.  Turkey never gave up and the Germans can count themselves lucky with the performance they put in.  When it comes to situations like this, the Germans always have the mentatlity to get the right result.  As I predicted Germany left it late, I hope you backed the Germans to qualify/win in 90 minutes like I said, if you did then you are much more braver than me!!

Not a bad night for betting, backing the draw at half time came off and we also won the bet for Germany to make the first substitution at 1.81, which came just at the start of the 2nd half.  Unfortuantely Schweinsteiger was on his best behaviour tonight, and there was only one yellow card in this game!!

The last of the Euro 2008 quarter finals tonight and what great matches we’ve had so far.  After seeing the following Christiano Ronaldo headline on the front page of the Sun newspaper yesterday: ‘I don’t give a damn what Fergie thinks’ (about wanting his move to Real Madrid), it was good to see the following programme in the TV guide scheduled by ITV for 2.30pm on Saturday…..  Christiano Ronaldo: The story so far- Profile of the Portuguese footballer, who has enjoyed great success in the country with Manchester United.  Featuring contributions from Alex Ferguson and Wayne Rooney.

Obviously the description is a little out of date and should read Christiano Ronaldo: The story so far- still at Manchester United but will do anything to get his dream move to Real Madrid.  Featuring contributions from a fuming Alex Ferguson and a raging Wayne Rooney.  Not suitable for children, contains strong language and violence.

Spain v Italy

Head to head the two teams are close, out of 27 occasions Spain have won 8 times and Italy winning 9 times and 10 draws occuring.  Although in competitive competitions Spain have only won 1 out of the 9 games, with Italy winning 5 games.  Spain will be confident going into this match as they’ve not lost to the Italians in the last 4 occasions.  Italy will be missing the midfield pairing of Pirlo and Gattuso through suspension whereas Spain had the luxury of resting the first team in their last game. 

Euro 2008 betting tip:  Italy scraped through the group stages but they have shown that they have the mental toughness for the big games.  Spain have been on fire with the two strikers Villa and Torres putting on a master class performance up front and they should give the Italian defence a torrid time today.  But I’m leaning towards the World Champions to qualify, with no creativity in midfield they will set out to frustrate Spain today and I can see this game going to extra time and penalties.  It’s a tough one but I will go for Italy to qualify at odds of 2.16 on Betfair. 

Luca Toni has had so many chances to score this tournament surely he’ll have to score before it’s too late??  Well this is the ideal time to do it, go for him to score at anytime at odds of 3.15.

Also go for a small bet on the ‘method of victory market’, Italy to win on penalties looks like a tempting 11.0 odds, after tipping this, the game will probably over in the first 5 minutes!!

UPDATE: (Spain 0-0 Italy * Spain win on penalties) - It was difficult to watch this match without wanting to turn over to watch Taggart on ITV instead, for a neutral this quarter final didn’t live up to the excitement of the other three.  Another night of losing bets, I made a mistake and should of also tipped to back Spain  to win on penalties in the method of victory market, this would of covered all losing bets tonight.  Hopefully everyone isn’t down too much, it’s good that there’s a few days rest, it should give some time to try and pick some winners for the semi finals!!